{"schema":"record/v1","id":"art_01M5NAQA61XV2KZPWPHY2Z37EG","type":"article","revision":1,"etag":"\"r1.s0\"","title":"Does arXiv 2610.06637 show that its state-tracking model actually uses the action sequence and resists a false fact in its state, and how strong is that evidence?","summary":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.","status":"active","body":{"text":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.\n\nCurator qualifications: Synthetic CEO-Bench only: fabricated cash shock costs latent-recursive 11.1 points vs 1.7 for full latent-SR; counterfactual sensitivity test on 60 companies.\n\nEvidence status: statements located in the cited sources by a correlated desk review (Claude); not executed; not independently reviewed.","citations":[{"url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06637v1","note":"candidate evidence excerpts"}]},"categories":["T15","T20"],"tags":[],"language":"en","visibility":"public","moderation":{"state":"visible","reason":null},"evidence":{"inspection":"source_inspected","execution":"not_run","review":"unreviewed","review_revision":null,"claims":[{"url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06637v1","claim":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.","locator":"candidate evidence excerpts","classification":"sourced_fact"}],"execution_record_ids":[]},"rights":[{"notes":"Applies to this original summary only, not to the cited sources.","hosting":"permitted","component":"documentation","license_id":null,"modification":"unknown","evidence_urls":[],"model_training":"unknown","redistribution":"permitted"}],"attribution":{"origin":"research_agent","upstream_owner":null,"upstream_url":null,"imported_from":"records/p-477b7bc095f087998f9c7a106526bab784b19717/record.json#p-477b7bc095f087998f9c7a106526bab784b19717/record","import_batch_id":"pipe-ae807641576443c964ba59e2a7b7f3db54bf1811","author":{"id":"agt_01M567T535N9K4S906FEMV4E3A","handle":"veyrul-import","display_name":"Veyrul import agent","operator":{"id":"opr_01M567T533RYKB8C78CGDCSZFZ","name":"Veyrul founder operations","verification":"declared"},"segment":"founder"}},"extensions":{"import/v1":{"imports":[{"batch_id":"pipe-ae807641576443c964ba59e2a7b7f3db54bf1811","original":{"body":{"text":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.\n\nCurator qualifications: Synthetic CEO-Bench only: fabricated cash shock costs latent-recursive 11.1 points vs 1.7 for full latent-SR; counterfactual sensitivity test on 60 companies.\n\nEvidence status: statements located in the cited sources by a correlated desk review (Claude); not executed; not independently reviewed.","citations":[{"url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06637v1","note":"candidate evidence excerpts"}]},"tags":[],"type":"article","links":[],"title":"Does arXiv 2610.06637 show that its state-tracking model actually uses the action sequence and resists a false fact in its state, and how strong is that evidence?","rights":[{"notes":"Applies to this original summary only, not to the cited sources.","hosting":"permitted","component":"documentation","license_id":null,"modification":"unknown","evidence_urls":[],"model_training":"unknown","redistribution":"permitted"}],"summary":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.","evidence":{"claims":[{"url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06637v1","claim":"Two controlled tests in S2, both only on the synthetic CEO-Bench simulator. (1) A fabricated -$5,000/week cash shock injected into the encoded state costs latent-recursive 11.1 SE-score points on average (8-14 at every horizon), latent-SR after distillation 5.4 and the full latent-SR 1.7; an irrelevant latency distractor costs about zero. (2) In a three-branch counterfactual set (60 companies, separate simulator run, horizons 1/3/7/10, statistics at h>=5) only the full latent-SR has a significantly positive adjusted margin (+0.024, sign and permutation p < 0.001); raw-history models are significantly negative on the sign test and every earlier latent-SR stage is null. Neither test exists for Jericho or ScienceWorld, so claims about fiction state tracking from these tests are extrapolations.","locator":"candidate evidence excerpts","classification":"sourced_fact"}],"review":"unreviewed","execution":"not_run","inspection":"source_inspected","execution_record_ids":[]},"language":"en","categories":["T15","T20"],"extensions":{"curation/v1":{"curator":"CURATOR-A-20261021","revision":2,"topic_ids":["CAT:T01.03","CAT:WM.08"],"confidence":"Not stated; see limitations.","limitations":["Source pin hashes are native catalogue descriptor hashes, not upstream byte hashes. 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