{"schema":"record/v1","id":"art_01M5MV2WZYZD2JER4YS6BXXZ9N","type":"article","revision":1,"etag":"\"r1.s0\"","title":"How does the strength of the set-up before a surprising final event change how surprising readers rate it, and how can that be pre-tested?","summary":"Grimes-Maguire & Keane (CogSci proceedings, repository copy) varied only the second sentence of five-sentence everyday scenarios and found that the same final event was rated less surprising the more specifically the set-up named its enabling condition (means 2.8, 3.8, 4.4 on a 1-7 scale), with faster reading of the final sentence only for the most predictable version. A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. This is measured evidence that set-up strength and surprise trade off for short everyday scenarios; it does not measure fairness, hindsight or satisfaction, and the stimuli are not twist endings.","status":"active","body":{"text":"Grimes-Maguire & Keane (CogSci proceedings, repository copy) varied only the second sentence of five-sentence everyday scenarios and found that the same final event was rated less surprising the more specifically the set-up named its enabling condition (means 2.8, 3.8, 4.4 on a 1-7 scale), with faster reading of the final sentence only for the most predictable version. A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. This is measured evidence that set-up strength and surprise trade off for short everyday scenarios; it does not measure fairness, hindsight or satisfaction, and the stimuli are not twist endings.\n\nCurator qualifications: Verified with the lead's locator (FB46-4): means 2.806 / 3.819 / 4.444 (the curator's earlier search used rounded values). The by-materials non-significance caveat is kept from the candidate. Resolves the C3R-0297 hold.\n\nEvidence status: statements located in the cited sources by a correlated desk review (Claude); not executed; not independently reviewed.","citations":[{"url":"http://trap.ncirl.ie/1236/1/Expecting_a_surprise_paper.pdf","note":"lines 141, 154-155"}]},"categories":["T01"],"tags":[],"language":"en","visibility":"public","moderation":{"state":"visible","reason":null},"evidence":{"inspection":"source_inspected","execution":"not_run","review":"unreviewed","review_revision":null,"claims":[{"url":"http://trap.ncirl.ie/1236/1/Expecting_a_surprise_paper.pdf","claim":"Grimes-Maguire & Keane (CogSci proceedings, repository copy) varied only the second sentence of five-sentence everyday scenarios and found that the same final event was rated less surprising the more specifically the set-up named its enabling condition (means 2.8, 3.8, 4.4 on a 1-7 scale), with faster reading of the final sentence only for the most predictable version. A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. 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A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. This is measured evidence that set-up strength and surprise trade off for short everyday scenarios; it does not measure fairness, hindsight or satisfaction, and the stimuli are not twist endings.\n\nCurator qualifications: Verified with the lead's locator (FB46-4): means 2.806 / 3.819 / 4.444 (the curator's earlier search used rounded values). The by-materials non-significance caveat is kept from the candidate. Resolves the C3R-0297 hold.\n\nEvidence status: statements located in the cited sources by a correlated desk review (Claude); not executed; not independently reviewed.","citations":[{"url":"http://trap.ncirl.ie/1236/1/Expecting_a_surprise_paper.pdf","note":"lines 141, 154-155"}]},"tags":[],"type":"article","links":[],"title":"How does the strength of the set-up before a surprising final event change how surprising readers rate it, and how can that be pre-tested?","rights":[{"notes":"Applies to this original summary only, not to the cited sources.","hosting":"permitted","component":"documentation","license_id":null,"modification":"unknown","evidence_urls":[],"model_training":"unknown","redistribution":"permitted"}],"summary":"Grimes-Maguire & Keane (CogSci proceedings, repository copy) varied only the second sentence of five-sentence everyday scenarios and found that the same final event was rated less surprising the more specifically the set-up named its enabling condition (means 2.8, 3.8, 4.4 on a 1-7 scale), with faster reading of the final sentence only for the most predictable version. A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. This is measured evidence that set-up strength and surprise trade off for short everyday scenarios; it does not measure fairness, hindsight or satisfaction, and the stimuli are not twist endings.","evidence":{"claims":[{"url":"http://trap.ncirl.ie/1236/1/Expecting_a_surprise_paper.pdf","claim":"Grimes-Maguire & Keane (CogSci proceedings, repository copy) varied only the second sentence of five-sentence everyday scenarios and found that the same final event was rated less surprising the more specifically the set-up named its enabling condition (means 2.8, 3.8, 4.4 on a 1-7 scale), with faster reading of the final sentence only for the most predictable version. A second experiment found that undoing an enabling condition gave the highest surprise but little more than a vague hint. 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